Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.113486 0.131167 0.150460 0.173044 0.198723 0.226979 0.260395
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.091659 0.116327 0.145581 0.182695 0.228383 0.282631 0.351755
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.071467 0.098729 0.133571 0.181057 0.243730 0.323216 0.431198
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.061253 0.091223 0.132135 0.191478 0.274641 0.386206 0.546183
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.051375 0.082029 0.126490 0.194748 0.295728 0.438171 0.652452
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.042006 0.071637 0.117136 0.190785 0.305326 0.474505 0.740340
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.035172 0.063776 0.110077 0.188756 0.316820 0.513993 0.836174
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.032007 0.061280 0.110920 0.198938 0.347981 0.585830 0.987733
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.029110 0.058678 0.111063 0.207722 0.377524 0.657624 1.145743
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024522 0.052141 0.103335 0.201728 0.381173 0.687270 1.237524
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021297 0.047612 0.098493 0.200062 0.391806 0.729098 1.352872
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018144 0.042643 0.092041 0.194402 0.394298 0.756635 1.445432
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015667 0.038716 0.087172 0.191372 0.401763 0.794502 1.561427
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014176 0.036692 0.085880 0.195297 0.423020 0.859563 1.732903
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012136 0.033005 0.080499 0.189998 0.425284 0.889056 1.840586
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011407 0.032348 0.081674 0.198856 0.457426 0.978980 2.071593
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010310 0.030553 0.079977 0.201111 0.475853 1.043364 2.257978
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.008943 0.027768 0.075509 0.196418 0.478653 1.076258 2.384018
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007885 0.025608 0.072217 0.194003 0.486138 1.119329 2.534212
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007564 0.025490 0.074063 0.204254 0.523543 1.228805 2.831530
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007196 0.025161 0.075305 0.213144 0.558659 1.336182 3.132590
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006247 0.022846 0.070869 0.206947 0.557102 1.362764 3.261199
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.005583 0.021291 0.068276 0.205209 0.566166 1.413781 3.447366